FragStash Armory ROI

Command Deck for CS2 Star Redemptions

Evaluate expected value, ROI, and vendor-adjusted performance for every Armory pool in one operational view. Detailed modals break down rarity odds, wear-level pricing, and contribution by item so decision logic stays transparent.

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Understanding Your Returns

The same formulas below drive tile values and modal breakdowns.

Expected Value (EV)

Each pool value is computed from live prices and the official Armory rarity distribution. For skins with float ranges, EV uses wear probabilities and available wear prices instead of a flat lookup.

  • Tier item probability = tier odds / items in tier
  • Item contribution = item probability x item EV
  • Pool EV = sum of all item contributions

Avg ROI (Stability Signal)

ROI is calculated for multiple reference vendors, then filtered using IQR outlier control. This keeps one abnormal marketplace print from distorting your decision.

  • Cross-vendor ROI pass
  • Interquartile outlier trimming
  • Mean of retained values = Avg ROI

Return on Investment (ROI)

ROI measures return against star spend at the currently selected currency: ROI = (EV / Cost) x 100

  • 110% ROI means 1.10 of value per 1.00 spent
  • 100% ROI is break-even
  • 90% ROI means 0.90 of value per 1.00 spent

Inactive pools are hidden by default but can be enabled with the toggle above for historical comparison.